Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
