Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Goias | 24 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | America Mineiro | 24 | -5 | 32 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 24 | 3 | 31 |
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Avai
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 24 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 24 | -13 | 25 |
| 18 | Avai | 24 | -14 | 23 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| America Mineiro | Draw | Coritiba |
55.05% ( 1.99) | 23.85% ( -1.18) | 21.09% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( 2.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
