Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.