Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.