Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.