Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.