The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and Antofagasta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 River Plate
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
Last Game: Defensa 0-2 Antofagasta
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
We said: Defensa y Justicia 3-1 Antofagasta
With little at stake here, both teams can afford to go all out with little restriction which should make for an exciting watch. That said, we are tipping Defensa to carry the day and give their home crowd cause for delight at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Antofagasta had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Antofagasta win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Antofagasta |
50.24% ( -0.01) | 23.71% ( 0) | 26.05% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.01% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
