Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Northern Ireland Women had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Women win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-5 win for England Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England Women.