Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.