Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
