Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
