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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
46.25% ( -0.08) | 25.83% ( 0.03) | 27.92% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.97% ( -0.09) | 52.03% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.24% ( -0.07) | 73.76% ( 0.08) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.07) | 22.47% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( -0.11) | 56.02% ( 0.11) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.7% ( -0.01) | 33.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.08% ( -0.01) | 69.92% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 83 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 81 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 81 |
4 | Barnsley | 39 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 67 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 40 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 67 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 67 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 62 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 49 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 48 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 41 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 36 |
23 | Morecambe | 41 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 34 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 74 | -45 | 26 |
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