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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Burton Albion

Exeter
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Cole (41')
Sweeney (30'), Aitchison (43'), Carroll (65'), Cole (83')
Jules (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caprice (2'), Harper (55'), Carayol (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Burton Albion

 Boosted by their midweek win and meeting a Brewers side who are lacking any momentum, we back Exeter City to triumph on home turf on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion
44.29% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 26.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.19% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86% (-0.012 -0.01)54.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)33.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)70.07% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.28%
    Burton Albion 29.19%
    Draw 26.52%
Exeter CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Exeter vs Burton Albion

Exeter City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Burton Albion
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Burton Albion
0-1
Exeter

Powell (26'), Moon (59'), Seddon (81')
Seddon (90+4')
Trevitt (75')
Cole (45+3')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burton Albion
1-0
Exeter
Winnall (84')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Burton Albion
Oshilaja (63'), Keillor-Dunn (69')
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Burton Albion
Ribeiro (87')
Blyth (60')
McCrory (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530
> League One Full Table


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