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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-0 Burton Albion

 Wigan have won each of their last three home games, and we think that they will extend that winning run against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
46.75% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 27.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)58.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.038 0.04)79.29% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.044999999999987 0.04)25.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.064 0.06)59.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 46.75%
    Burton Albion 25.92%
    Draw 27.32%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.92%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
> Preview
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
Dec 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
3-4
Wigan
O'Toole (13'), Brayford (25'), Hemmings (72')
Joseph (19', 28', 73'), Keane (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733
> League One Full Table


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