

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 33.17% ( | 25.73% ( | 41.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( | 49.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( | 71.52% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( | 28.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.95% ( | 64.05% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.97% ( | 58.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.32% ( 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 32 | 9 | 3 | 80 | 30 | 50 | 105 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 45 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 65 | 34 | 31 | 89 |
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 69 | 41 | 28 | 84 |
| 4 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 84 |
| 5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 24 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 82 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 75 |
| 7 | Reading | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 66 | 53 | 13 | 75 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 67 |
| 9 | Blackpool | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 64 |
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 19 | 7 | 19 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 64 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 45 | 16 | 10 | 19 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 58 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 56 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 56 |
| 15 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 56 |
| 16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 54 |
| 17 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 65 | 75 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 47 | 65 | -18 | 50 |
| 19 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 44 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 53 | 71 | -18 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 44 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 46 |
| 21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 11 | 10 | 24 | 55 | 82 | -27 | 43 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 12 | 7 | 26 | 43 | 72 | -29 | 43 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 38 |
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 33 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
