

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers | 
| 27.66% (  2.77) | 25.07% (  0.19) | 47.27% (  -2.97) | 
| Both teams to score 53.9% (  1.81) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.91% (  1.22) | 49.08% (  -1.23) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.84% (  1.1) | 71.16% (  -1.1) | 
| Wigan Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.04% (  2.9) | 31.95% (  -2.9) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.59% (  3.18) | 68.41% (  -3.18) | 
| Bolton Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.2% (  -0.76) | 20.79% (  0.76) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.55% (  -1.2) | 53.45% (  1.2) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Bolton Wanderers | 
| 1-0 @ 7.58% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 6.79% (  0.56) 2-0 @ 4.32% (  0.45) 3-1 @ 2.58% (  0.39) 3-2 @ 2.03% (  0.27) 3-0 @ 1.64% (  0.28) Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.66% | 1-1 @ 11.9% (  0.07) 0-0 @ 6.64% (  -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.33% (  0.32) 3-3 @ 1.06% (  0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 10.43% (  -0.79) 1-2 @ 9.35% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 8.19% (  -0.83) 1-3 @ 4.89% (  -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.29% (  -0.55) 2-3 @ 2.79% (  0.11) 1-4 @ 1.92% (  -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.68% (  -0.26) 2-4 @ 1.1% (  0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.26% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 37 | 26 | 8 | 3 | 63 | 25 | 38 | 86 | 
| 2 | Wrexham | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 77 | 
| 3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 74 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 69 | 
| 5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 68 | 
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 62 | 
| 7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 61 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 57 | 3 | 60 | 
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 59 | 
| 10 | Blackpool | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 57 | 
| 11 | Barnsley | 39 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 54 | 
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 50 | 
| 13 | Stevenage | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 49 | 
| 14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 47 | 
| 15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 63 | -6 | 45 | 
| 16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 45 | 
| 17 | Exeter CityExeter | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 45 | 
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 44 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 39 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 43 | 
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 42 | 
| 21 | Burton Albion | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 36 | 
| 22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 36 | 
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 31 | 
| 24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 66 | -31 | 28 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
