We said: Reading 1-1 Birmingham City
Reading should have renewed confidence from Saturday's win, and a change in management often brings about a boost, but Birmingham also arrive in high spirits and could force a share of the spoils.
We see the two sides cancelling out one another's efforts, given their extensive injury issues and the hosts' need to avoid a defeat.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
