Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
