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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Stockport County

Crawley
1 - 1
Stockport

Quitirna (68' pen.)
Anderson (14'), Lindsey (15'), Williams (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barry (6')
Onyango (40'), Norwood (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Stockport County

While Crawley have avoided defeat in their last two matches against this opponent at this venue, their attack did look blunt leading up to the international break, which does not bode well for their chances against a Stockport side that have only conceded one goal this term. The time off may have given the hosts a chance to reset, but we feel the Hatters will still come away with the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
28.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 21.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 50.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (0.075000000000003 0.08)32.88% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)54.59% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)57.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (0.039999999999992 0.04)13.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)40.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 28.12%
    Stockport County 50.23%
    Draw 21.65%
Crawley TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.12%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 3.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Stockport

Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
16.7%
Stockport County
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Crawley
1-1
Stockport
Lolas (83')
Lindsey (21'), Orsi (54')
Sarcevic (61')
Pye (20')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
3-3
Crawley
Barry (13'), Sarcevic (36'), Olaofe (89')
Powell (56')
Campbell (42'), Maguire (54'), Orsi (66')
Gladwin (38'), Orsi (56'), Lolas (71'), Henry (85'), Williams (90+1')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Stockport
2-1
Crawley
Wootton (12', 51')
Powell (9')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Crawley
3-2
Stockport
Tilley (5'), Telford (35'), Tsaroulla (56')
Crankshaw (17'), Hussey (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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