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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Harrogate Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Harrogate

Armstrong (44')
Neal (39'), Mellish (74'), Robinson (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Daly (39')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 4-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Newport
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
31.47% (-0.188 -0.19) 25.7% (0.194 0.19) 42.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.70099999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.875 -0.88)49.86% (0.88 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.786 -0.79)71.86% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)29.62% (0.567 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.69 -0.69)65.66% (0.696 0.7)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.37599999999999 -0.38)23.16% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.556 -0.56)57.03% (0.561 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 31.47%
    Harrogate Town 42.82%
    Draw 25.7%
Carlisle UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.47%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.03% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.34% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.82%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
2-0
Harrogate
Gibson (3', 79')
Garner (42')
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carlisle
0-1
Harrogate
Huntington (82' og.)
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Harrogate
3-3
Carlisle
Armstrong (28'), Burrell (60'), Headley (76')
Charters (12'), Edmondson (50'), Moxon (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Harrogate
3-0
Carlisle
Diamond (18', 90+1'), McArdle (27')
Austerfield (66'), Sheron (70'), (72')

Devine (35'), Feeney (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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