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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
61.62% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() | 16.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.19% (![]() | 47.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30% (![]() | 70% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85% (![]() | 15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.55% (![]() | 43.45% (![]() |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.96% (![]() | 42.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.53% (![]() | 78.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 11.96% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 61.61% | 1-1 @ 10.36% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 16.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 64 |
3 | Stevenage | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 63 |
4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 59 |
7 | Salford City | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 56 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 55 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 52 |
11 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 50 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 49 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 48 |
14 | Walsall | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 44 |
15 | AFC Wimbledon | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 42 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
19 | Gillingham | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 38 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 35 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 30 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 29 |
24 | Rochdale | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 25 |
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