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Walsall
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Brunton Park
Carlisle
3 - 1
Hartlepool
Feeney (6'), Dennis (26', 66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Umerah (28')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Newport
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 3-0 Hartlepool United

Hartlepool have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, but Carlisle should still have no problems sweeping them aside, just like they did in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Dennis has been in fine form in front of goals for the Blues, and we expect him to get on the scoresheet again in a resounding victory for his side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawHartlepool United
56.56% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 24.38% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.06% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.117 -0.12)54.36% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)75.74% (0.102 0.1)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)19.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)50.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.08% (-0.166 -0.17)42.92% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.78% (-0.138 -0.14)79.22% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 56.55%
    Hartlepool United 19.06%
    Draw 24.38%
Carlisle UnitedDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 56.55%
1-1 @ 11.48%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.94%
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 19.06%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Hartlepool

Carlisle United
81.8%
Draw
4.5%
Hartlepool United
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
3-3
Hartlepool
Charters (11'), Mampala (59'), Abrahams (78')
Mampala (67')
Daly (18'), Molyneux (81'), Olomola (89' pen.)
Daly (55')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Carlisle
Burey (13'), Holohan (69')
Liddle (87')
Clough (38')
Clough (3'), Guy (67')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Carlisle
Oates (64')
Donnelly (81')
Ibehre (7')
Joyce (19'), Proctor (43'), Ibehre (78'), Devitt (85')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient33217543192470
2Stevenage30169543251857
3Carlisle UnitedCarlisle321510749321755
4Stockport CountyStockport321661048301854
5Northampton TownNorthampton311410744311352
6Mansfield TownMansfield31157949371252
7Salford City32147114233949
8Bradford CityBradford3013983729848
9Sutton UnitedSutton32138113438-447
10Doncaster RoversDoncaster31144133642-646
11Swindon TownSwindon31129104035545
12BarrowBarrow32135143540-544
13Walsall30101283225742
14AFC Wimbledon31101293231142
15Tranmere RoversTranmere32118133232041
16Newport CountyNewport31910123134-337
17Grimsby Town29107123236-437
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe31813102738-1137
19Colchester UnitedColchester3398163139-835
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3179153747-1030
21Gillingham3079141934-1530
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool3369183359-2627
23Crawley TownCrawley2968153247-1526
24Rochdale3356222651-2521

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