We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Hartlepool United
Momentum may be on the side of Carlisle heading into this encounter, but Hartlepool have not played all that bad, and if not for a lack of quality in attack, they could be a lot higher up the standings.
Only two points separate these teams in the league at the moment, so we expect it to be a tight match with two sides capable of dictating the tempo of a game, and a draw seems like a real possibility.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 48.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
