MX23RW : Monday, May 19 08:29:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Defensor

Nacional
1 - 1
Defensor

Polenta (67')
Polenta (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Spinelli (26')
De Los Santos (68'), Alvarez (83'), Dawson (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Racing
Friday, September 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
43.4% (-0.115 -0.12) 27.63%28.96% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)58.32% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (0.029 0.03)78.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.65% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)61.89% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.10600000000001 0.11)35.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.11 0.11)72.61% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 43.4%
    Defensor Sporting 28.96%
    Draw 27.63%
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 28.96%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
3-3
Nacional
Rivero (22'), Mansilla (52'), Duarte (54')
Bernal (24'), Mansilla (52'), Cuello (54'), Elizari (72'), De Los Santos (90+4')
Pereyra (10'), Carneiro (59' pen.), Santander (86')
Oliva (81'), Santander (88')
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Defensor
Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Defensor
0-1
Nacional

Rocha (63')
Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing14644139422
7Boston RiverBoston River146351617-121
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia145451211119
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro143561320-713
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14Miramar Misiones143291523-811
15River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
16DanubioDanubio140951016-69


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