
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 0Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Nacional
For as sharp as Nacional were defensively in the opening leg, we have difficulty believing they can replicate that against a side in Sao Paulo who are equally strong on the back end at home and have plenty of experience to draw upon in these must-win games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (5.35%).
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Nacional | 
| 62.56% (  1.24) | 21.54% (  -0.45) | 15.9% (  -0.8) | 
| Both teams to score 48.56% (  -0.32) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.03% (  0.47) | 47.97% (  -0.47) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.86% (  0.43) | 70.15% (  -0.43) | 
| Sao Paulo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.25% (  0.55) | 14.75% (  -0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | 
| 57.02% (  1.05) | 42.98% (  -1.05) | 
| Nacional Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.97% (  -0.75) | 43.04% (  0.75) | 






 
