MX23RW : Friday, August 23 01:02:03| >> :600:196458:196458:
Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Nacional

Bobadilla (31'), Calleri (47')
Gustavo (44'), Antonio (90+14')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baez (90+13'), Lozano (90+15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sao Paulo and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-3 Nacional
Sunday, August 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

We said: Sao Paulo 1-0 Nacional

For as sharp as Nacional were defensively in the opening leg, we have difficulty believing they can replicate that against a side in Sao Paulo who are equally strong on the back end at home and have plenty of experience to draw upon in these must-win games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (5.35%).

Result
Sao PauloDrawNacional
62.56% (1.24 1.24) 21.54% (-0.446 -0.45) 15.9% (-0.796 -0.8)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (0.466 0.47)47.97% (-0.467 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (0.428 0.43)70.15% (-0.428 -0.43)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.25% (0.55200000000001 0.55)14.75% (-0.553 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.02% (1.048 1.05)42.98% (-1.049 -1.05)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.97% (-0.75 -0.75)43.04% (0.748 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (-0.638 -0.64)79.32% (0.63799999999999 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 62.55%
    Nacional 15.9%
    Draw 21.54%
Sao PauloDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-0 @ 11.62% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.42% (0.284 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.114 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.201 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.102 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 62.55%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.35% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.54%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.9%

How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Nacional

Sao Paulo
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Nacional
0.0%
38
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Nacional
0-0
Sao Paulo
Polenta (13'), Pereyra (86')
Luciano (25'), Arboleda (36'), Gustavo (49'), Franco (58')
rhs 2.0
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