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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University Stadium

Connah's Quay
P-P
New Saints

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-2 Bravo
Thursday, July 18 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Next Game: Connah's Quay vs. Haverfordwest
Sunday, August 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Ferencvaros
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Champions League
Next Game: Petrocub vs. New Saints
Tuesday, August 6 at 6pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%).

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
33.42% (6.567 6.57) 22.44% (1.785 1.79) 44.14% (-8.345 -8.35)
Both teams to score 66.58% (-2.415 -2.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (-4.885 -4.89)33.87% (4.891 4.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.28% (-5.762 -5.76)55.72% (5.768 5.77)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27% (1.292 1.29)20.74% (-1.287 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (1.991 1.99)53.36% (-1.986 -1.99)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-4.485 -4.49)16.01% (4.491 4.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (-8.921 -8.92)45.34% (8.929 8.93)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 33.42%
    The New Saints 44.14%
    Draw 22.44%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 7.53% (1.251 1.25)
1-0 @ 5.22% (1.385 1.39)
2-0 @ 4.11% (1.204 1.2)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.782 0.78)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.195 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.69 0.69)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.356 0.36)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 33.42%
1-1 @ 9.57% (1.273 1.27)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.783 0.78)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.6 0.6)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-1.106 -1.11)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.676 -0.68)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.866 -0.87)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-1.038 -1.04)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.712 -0.71)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.748 -0.75)
3-4 @ 1.01% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 44.14%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
2-0
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (88'), Edwards (90' og.)

Disney (59'), Nash (60'), Edwards (70'), Edwards (73')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
1-5
New Saints
Kenny (46')
Edwards (72')
Daniels (4'), Clark (20'), Davies (36'), Williams (42'), McManus (85')
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Connah's Quay
0-4
New Saints

Disney (88')
Pask (7'), Brobbel (22'), Young (28', 56')
Marriott (88')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
6-2
Connah's Quay
Cieslewicz (13', 37'), McManus (45+3', 53'), Williams (55'), Smith (89')
Williams (33'), Davies (83'), Smith (86')
Edwards (2'), Davies (35')
Edwards (79'), Disney (83')
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Connah's Quay
Daniels (34', 70'), McManus (58', 88')
Harrington (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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