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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 4
Hereford

Lloyd (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hudson (23'), Babos (77', 89'), Williams (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southport has a probability of 35.36% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Southport win is 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result
SouthportDrawHereford United
35.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.26% (-0.044 -0.04) 38.39% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.29% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (0.184 0.18)51.34% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (0.161 0.16)73.16% (-0.161 -0.16)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.084999999999994 0.08)27.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (0.10700000000001 0.11)63.48% (-0.107 -0.11)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (0.114 0.11)26.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (0.153 0.15)61.18% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Southport 35.36%
    Hereford United 38.39%
    Draw 26.25%
SouthportDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.39%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Southport
1-2
Hereford
Carver (90+2')
Lloyd (60')
Downing (43'), Phillips (90')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Southport
0-1
Hereford
Holmes (50')
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Hereford
2-0
Southport
Barnett (79' pen.), Jarvis (90+4')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Hereford
0-1
Southport
Oliver (51' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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