

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 79.92%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.93%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 1-2 (2.27%).
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora | 
| 79.92% (  0.04) | 12.77% (  -0.02) | 7.31% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 50.31% (  -0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 69.7% (  -0.02) | 30.29% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 48.45% (  -0.02) | 51.55% (  0.03) | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 94.12% (  0.01) | 5.88% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.46% (  0.01) | 22.53% (  -0.01) | 
| Estrela Amadora Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 53.46% (  -0.08) | 46.54% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.86% (  -0.06) | 82.14% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora | 
| 2-0 @ 10.98% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 10.37% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.4% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.94% (  -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 7.35% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 5.62% (  -0) 5-0 @ 4.17% (  0.01) 5-1 @ 3.19% (  -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.15% (  -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.97% (  0.01) 6-1 @ 1.51% 5-2 @ 1.22% (  -0) Other @ 4.25% Total : 79.91% | 1-1 @ 5.93% (  -0) 2-2 @ 3.21% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.74% (  0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.77% | 1-2 @ 2.27% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.09% (  -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.31% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 
| 2 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 
| 3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 
| 4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 
| 5 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 
| 6 | Benfica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 
| 8 | Braga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | 
| 12 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 
| 13 | Estrela Amadora | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | 
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | 
| 15 | AroucaArouca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 
| 16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 
| 17 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 | 
| 18 | SC FarenseFarense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 | 
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