

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 41.44% (  -4.61) | 25.45% (  -0.15) | 33.1% (  4.76) | 
| Both teams to score 55.5% (  2.81) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.71% (  2.6) | 48.29% (  -2.6) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.57% (  2.33) | 70.43% (  -2.33) | 
| Barnsley Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.85% (  -1.07) | 23.15% (  1.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.98% (  -1.59) | 57.02% (  1.59) | 
| Northampton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.22% (  4.59) | 27.78% (  -4.59) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.64% (  5.52) | 63.36% (  -5.52) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barnsley | Draw | Northampton Town | 
| 1-0 @ 9.41% (  -1.38) 2-1 @ 8.82% (  -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.89% (  -1.27) 3-1 @ 4.3% (  -0.33) 3-0 @ 3.36% (  -0.75) 3-2 @ 2.76% (  0.14) 4-1 @ 1.57% (  -0.18) 4-0 @ 1.23% (  -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.01% (  0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 12.05% (  -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.43% (  -0.72) 2-2 @ 5.65% (  0.46) 3-3 @ 1.18% (  0.19) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.24% (  0.17) 1-2 @ 7.72% (  0.85) 0-2 @ 5.27% (  0.73) 1-3 @ 3.3% (  0.71) 2-3 @ 2.41% (  0.46) 0-3 @ 2.25% (  0.54) 1-4 @ 1.06% (  0.33) Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.1% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 | 
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 | 
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 | 
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 | 
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 | 
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 | 
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 | 
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 | 
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 | 
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 | 
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 | 
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 | 
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 | 
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 | 
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 | 
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 | 
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 | 
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 | 
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 | 
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
