Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.