Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.