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We said: Club Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul
Tijuana's inability to keep clean sheets means the hosts are expected to concede, but they possess the firepower to outscore Cruz Azul on their turf with a marginal victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Tijuana in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Club Tijuana.
| Result | ||
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Cruz Azul |
43.33% ( 0.41) | 27.25% ( -0.01) | 29.42% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
