Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille | 
| 27.87% | 29.01% | 43.12% | 
| Both teams to score 42.83% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 36.64% | 63.35% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 17.28% | 82.72% | 
| Nantes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.5% | 39.5% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.81% | 76.19% | 
| Marseille Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.79% | 29.2% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.85% | 65.15% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nantes | Draw | Marseille | 
| 1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-3 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.11% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 51 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 | 
| 3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 | 
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 | 
| 5 | Rennes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 40 | 
| 6 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 | 
| 7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 | 
| 8 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 | 
| 9 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 | 
| 10 | Lyon | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 29 | 
| 11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | 
| 12 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 | 
| 13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 | 
| 15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 | 
| 16 | Troyes | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 19 | 
| 17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 | 
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 | 
| 19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 | 
| 20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 | 
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