Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
15.56% | 19.64% | 64.79% |
Both teams to score 54.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.77% | 40.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.4% | 62.6% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% | 38.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% | 75.48% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.31% | 11.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.22% | 36.77% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 4.37% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2% Total : 15.56% | 1-1 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.69% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.64% | 0-2 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 7.08% 0-4 @ 4.01% 1-4 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-5 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.88% Total : 64.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 60 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 50 |
4 | Lens | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
6 | Lille | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
7 | Nice | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Reims | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 37 |
11 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 31 |
13 | NantesNantes | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 27 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 22 |
16 | Auxerre | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 21 |
17 | Ajaccio | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 21 |
18 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
19 | Troyes | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 19 |
20 | Angers | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 10 |
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