Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain | 
| 28.1% | 23.36% | 48.54% | 
| Both teams to score 60.02% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.82% | 41.18% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.43% | 63.57% | 
| Marseille Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.46% | 27.54% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.95% | 63.05% | 
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.83% | 17.17% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.57% | 47.43% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Marseille | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain | 
| 2-1 @ 6.93% 1-0 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 3.93% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.1% | 1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.54% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 29 | 
| 2 | Lorient | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 | 
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 
| 4 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 
| 5 | Rennes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 | 
| 7 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 19 | 
| 8 | Clermont | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 17 | 
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 | 
| 10 | Lyon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 12 | 
| 12 | Troyes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 12 | 
| 13 | Nice | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 | 
| 15 | Reims | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 | 
| 16 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 | 
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 | 
| 18 | Ajaccio | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 | 
| 19 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 | 
| 20 | Brest | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 6 | 
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