Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 35.21% | 26.99% | 37.8% |
| Both teams to score 50.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.61% | 54.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% | 75.76% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% | 29.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.55% | 65.44% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% | 27.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 35.2%
Lens 37.79%
Draw 26.99%
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.79% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Lens
Nantes
37.7%Draw
41.5%Lens
20.8%53
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2014 8pm
Form Guide
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