Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 26 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 ADO Den Haag
With Den Haag failing to register a victory over PSV Eindhoven since February 2011, which incidentally came at the Philips Stadion, we predict that the defending KNVB Beker champions will continue their recent unrivalled head-to-head record on Thursday evening and subsequently confirm their place in the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 11.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
71.25% ( -5.11) | 16.77% ( 2.69) | 11.98% ( 2.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -1.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
