The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Metz
Lyon made the mistake of underestimating a Metz side fighting for their lives earlier this month, but De Preville's absence is a bitter blow, and the visitors have not been able to stop the rut away from home. The pressure is firmly off a healthy PSG squad at their headquarters, and Pochettino's side will expect to round off a tumultuous season with a straightforward victory to leave Metz praying for results elsewhere to go their way. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.28%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 4.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.11%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
84.28% ( 0.94) | 10.75% ( -0.44) | 4.97% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 43.53% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
