Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 0-3 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.