The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
We said: Lorient 1-1 Metz
A home game against the division's bottom-placed side is as ideal as it gets for Lorient in their efforts to pull clear of the relegation zone. However, they face a Metz outfit who have their backs against the wall, and we think that the visitors will do enough to earn a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Metz |
| 58.51% | 23.68% | 17.81% |
| Both teams to score 46.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
