Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.