Spirits in the Sunderland camp may be low after the departure of Neil, and, while we do not see the Millers taking all three points in a tough midweek trip to the Stadium of Light, they should have enough to snatch a point given the confidence they will have from a strong start.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
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