Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
