Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 36.66% | 26.41% | 36.94% |
| Both teams to score 52.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% | 73.65% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% | 27.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.38% | 62.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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