| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 46.5% | 25.37% | 28.13% |
| Both teams to score 53.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.02% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% | 21.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.4% | 54.59% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.42% | 68.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.46% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
| 3 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
| 6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
| 10 | Reims | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 37 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Clermont | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 22 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 17 | Ajaccio | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
| 19 | Troyes | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 19 |
| 20 | Angers | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 10 |
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