Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 46.01% | 27.86% | 26.12% |
| Both teams to score 44.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% | 60.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.39% | 80.6% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.92% | 76.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% 2-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
| 3 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
| 6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
| 10 | Reims | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 37 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Clermont | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 27 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 22 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 17 | Ajaccio | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 |
| 19 | Troyes | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 19 |
| 20 | Angers | 25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 10 |
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