Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
