Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 43.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
| 43.29% | 28.57% | 28.13% |
| Both teams to score 44.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.14% | 61.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% | 81.63% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% | 28.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% 2-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.63% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.59% Total : 28.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 3 | Marseille | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 61 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 42 | 21 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
| 6 | Lille | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 52 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Nice | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | Clermont | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 51 | -24 | 29 |
| 16 | Brest | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 55 | -34 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 14 |
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