

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Metz |
| 40.63% | 26.93% | 32.44% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.44% | 54.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.09% | 75.91% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% | 26.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% | 31.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.31% | 67.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nice | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Brest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Reims | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | NantesNantes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Marseille | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Lens | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Lorient | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Lyon | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 2 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
