Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Marseille |
19.74% | 22.72% | 57.54% |
Both teams to score 52.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.11% | 46.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.86% | 69.14% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% | 37.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.38% | 74.62% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% | 16.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% | 45.37% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 5.89% 2-1 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 2.86% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.55% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.74% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 11.1% 0-2 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-3 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 6.03% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.76% 2-4 @ 1.34% 0-5 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 90 | 36 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 69 |
4 | Rennes | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 82 | 40 | 42 | 66 |
5 | Nice | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 66 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 66 | 51 | 15 | 61 |
9 | NantesNantes | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 55 |
10 | Lille | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 43 |
14 | Angers | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 38 | 69 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 32 |
R | Metz | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | 69 | -34 | 31 |
R | Bordeaux | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 52 | 91 | -39 | 31 |
> Full Version |