The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Marseille |
| 19.74% | 22.72% | 57.54% |
| Both teams to score 52.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
